Nevada Sen. Dean HellerDean Arthur HellerOn The Trail: Democrats plan to hammer Trump on Social Security, Medicare Lobbying World Democrats spend big to put Senate in play MORE (R) leads his Democratic challenger by just 1 point in a new poll.
A survey from the Nevada Independent/Mellman Group finds that Heller leads Democratic Rep. Jacky RosenJacklyn (Jacky) Sheryl RosenThe Hill’s Coronavirus Report: Mnuchin sees ‘strong likelihood’ of another relief package; Warner says some businesses ‘may not come back’ at The Hill’s Advancing America’s Economy summit The Hill’s Coronavirus Report: CDC Director Redfield responds to Navarro criticism; Mnuchin and Powell brief Senate panel Hillicon Valley: Experts raise security concerns about online voting | Musk finds supporter in Trump | Officials warn that Chinese hackers targeting COVID-19 research groups MORE (Nev.) 40-39 in the state, with 21 percent of respondents still undecided about their vote in the upcoming midterms.
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Heller is considered one of the most vulnerable senators on the ballot in November, after Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE won Nevada in 2016.
Notably, Rosen leads Heller by 2 percent in the category of voters who “strongly” support a candidate, suggesting an enthusiasm gap that favors Democrats. Thirty percent of respondents “strongly” support Rosen, according to the poll, while just 28 percent “strongly” support Heller.
Heller’s favorability in the state is underwater in the poll, with 40 percent of voters viewing him unfavorably compared to 38 percent who approve of his job performance as senator. Rosen, meanwhile, enjoys a 20 percent favorability rating compared to 15 percent who view her unfavorably.
Heller benefits from name recognition, however. Just 8 percent of Nevada voters say they hadn’t heard of Dean Heller, compared to 34 percent who said they hadn’t heard of Rosen.
A one-term senator who won reelection by just 1 point in 2012, Heller’s seat is viewed as an important target for Democrats seeking to retake the Senate in November. Democrats need a net gain of two seats to flip the upper chamber — a difficult prospect with so many Democratic senators on the ballot in red states.
The Nevada Independent/Mellman Group survey contacted 600 likely Nevada voters between April 12-19 and has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.
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